
Jiri Lehecka faces Alexei Popyrin in the Wimbledon round of 128 on grass. Jiri Lehecka holds the paper edge — ranked #14, defending last year's round of 64, a roughly 180-point grass Elo advantage. They have met 2 times, the series level at 1–1, though this is their first meeting on grass.
Strong favourite · Lehecka J. heavily favoured
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (23 vs 16). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Lehecka J.: 8 days rest · 4 matches (14d) · Popyrin A.: 4 days rest · 1 match, 23 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-02-03 | Rotterdam | R32 | hard | Jiri Lehecka | 7-5 6-2 |
| 2024-03-18 | Miami Masters | R64 | hard | Alexei Popyrin | 6-4 6-4 |