Bu Yunchaokete vs Hugo DellienWimbledon Qualifying Round

Wimbledon · ATP · Qualifying Round
1722ELO
1644Grass ELO
24 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WWWWWWWWWW
Sets
Monday, 22 June 2026 ·
grass
#163ATP
1620ELO
1471Grass ELO
$217kYTD
$3.1MCAREER
33 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LLLWWWLWWW
Yunchaokete B.
vs
Dellien H.

Bu Yunchaokete faces Hugo Dellien in the Wimbledon qualifying round on grass. Bu Yunchaokete holds the paper edge — defending last year's round of 128, a roughly 170-point grass Elo advantage.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 16:20 UTC
Yunchaokete B.85%
Dellien H.15%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Yunchaokete B. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

  • Freshness: Bu Yunchaokete comes in with 7 days of rest and 146 games in 14d, vs Hugo Dellien's 19 and 0.
  • Under pressure: In the tight moments, Hugo Dellien has rated higher under pressure (Clutch Rating 60 vs 36).
  • Win streak: Bu Yunchaokete arrives on a 14-match winning run.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
8.2
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
4.5
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
Form & Matchup
7.2+174 Grass Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.8Grass Elo 1471
6.3Overall Elo 1722
ELO gap
3.7Overall Elo 1620
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
10.010 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
2.83 of last 10 on grass
10.014-match win streak
Win streak
0.0Lost last 3
Fatigue & Travel
Surface transition
3.0Clay → Grass
Context
6.0Reached the R128 here last year
Defending pts
6.0Reached the R128 here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

25 vs 38 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
61%
72%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
74%
64%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
58%
51%
Service points won·Slight edge
68%
61%
Return points won·Slight edge
34%
42%
Break points saved·Slight edge
68%
63%
Aces / match·Dominant
6.5
2.4
Double faults / match·Even
1.3
1.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (25 vs 38). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Yunchaokete B.serving87% hold

wins 68% of points on serve vs Dellien H.

Dellien H.serving88% hold

wins 69% of points on serve vs Yunchaokete B.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
36
60
Break points saved·Slight edge
97
89
Break points won·Slight edge
26
32
Deciding sets·Dominant
37
90
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
19
42

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
80
100

Yunchaokete B.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 22 games (7d) · Dellien H.: 19 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather forecast
26°CClear
Wind 18 km/hHumidity 57%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.