Florent Bax vs Chris Rodesch — Wimbledon Qualifying Round
Bax F.
Florent Bax faces Chris Rodesch in the Wimbledon qualifying round on grass. Chris Rodesch holds the paper edge — ranked #179, defending last year's round of 128, a roughly 170-point grass Elo advantage.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 15:37 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Strong favourite · Rodesch C. heavily favoured
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Freshness: Workload contrast: Florent Bax 31 games in 14 days, Chris Rodesch 44.
- Stage: Chris Rodesch defends last year's round of 128.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Form trajectory
Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (24 vs 27). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Freshness
Recent loadBax F.: 11 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Rodesch C.: 5 days rest · 1 match, 19 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.