Darwin Blanch vs Ugo BlanchetWimbledon Qualifying Round

Wimbledon · ATP · Qualifying Round
#211ATP
1569ELO
1484Grass ELO
18 yrs · 185 cm · Left-handed
Last 10
LLWLWWLLLW
Sets
Monday, 22 June 2026 ·
grass
#171ATP
1516ELO
1402Grass ELO
$119kYTD
$989kCAREER
27 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LLLLWLLWWL
Blanch D.
vs
Blanchet U.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 15:37 UTC
Blanch D.68%
Blanchet U.32%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Blanch D. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.0+83 Grass Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.0Grass Elo 1402
5.7Overall Elo 1569
ELO gap
4.3Overall Elo 1516
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
Surface form
2.53 of last 10 on grass
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0Lost last 4
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
6.0Reached qualifying here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

28 vs 25 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
58%
53%
1st serve points won·Even
74%
74%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
52%
Service points won·Even
63%
64%
Return points won·Even
39%
35%
Break points saved·Slight edge
59%
66%
Aces / match·Even
6.4
5.9
Double faults / match·Slight edge
3.4
2.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (28 vs 25). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Blanch D.serving89% hold

wins 69% of points on serve vs Blanchet U.

Blanchet U.serving86% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Blanch D.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
79
98

Blanch D.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 33 games (7d) · Blanchet U.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather forecast
26°CClear
Wind 18 km/hHumidity 57%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.