Vilius Gaubas vs Michael Mmoh — Wimbledon Qualifying Round

Wimbledon · ATP · Qualifying Round

LTU

Vilius Gaubas

#129ATP

1593ELO

1535Grass ELO

$275kYTD

$759kCAREER

21 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed

Last 10

LLLLLWWLWL

—

Sets

Monday, 22 June 2026 · 15:30

grass

USA

Michael Mmoh

#195ATP

1623ELO

1528Grass ELO

$78kYTD

$2.4MCAREER

28 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed

Last 10

LLLWWWLWWW

Gaubas V.

Mmoh M.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 16:20 UTC

Gaubas V.41%

Mmoh M.59%

Toss-up
50–58%

Slight edge
58–67%

Clear favourite
67–80%

Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Mmoh M. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match

Gaubas V.

5.3

Clear underdogUmpiry Score

Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)

Mmoh M.

6.5

Marginal edgeUmpiry Score

Form & Matchup

5.1+7 Grass Elo edge

Surface ELO

4.9Grass Elo 1528

4.6Overall Elo 1593

ELO gap

5.4Overall Elo 1623

5.0No prior meetings

H2H

5.0No prior meetings

6.03 of last 5 on grass

Surface form

5.15 of last 10 on grass

0.0Lost last 5

Win streak

0.0Lost last 3

Fatigue & Travel

3.0Clay → Grass

Surface transition

Context

6.0Reached qualifying here last year

Defending pts

5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Gaubas V.Stable

Mmoh M.Stable

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

31 vs 33 matches

Statistics

This season

Gaubas V.Mmoh M.

1st serve in·Even

66%

63%

1st serve points won·Slight edge

66%

74%

2nd serve points won·Slight edge

50%

44%

Service points won·Even

60%

63%

Return points won·Even

38%

40%

Break points saved·Even

65%

Aces / match·Dominant

3.3

6.8

Double faults / match·Dominant

2.6

5.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (31 vs 33). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season

Gaubas V.serving78% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Mmoh M.

Mmoh M.serving86% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Gaubas V.

Serve advantage — Mmoh M.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure

Gaubas V.Mmoh M.

Clutch Rating·Slight edge

Break points saved·Even

Break points won·Clear edge

Deciding sets·Slight edge

Tiebreaks·Dominant

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load

Gaubas V.Mmoh M.

Freshness·Even

Gaubas V.: 12 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Mmoh M.: 8 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed

Medium-fastrewards aggression

SlowFast

Weather forecast

26°CClear

Wind 18 km/hHumidity 57%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.