Alexis Galarneau vs Oliver TarvetWimbledon Qualifying Semi-final

Wimbledon · ATP · Qualifying Semi-final
#175ATP
1593ELO
1538Grass ELO
$177kYTD
$837kCAREER
27 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWLWWWWL
0 — 2
Sets
Wednesday, 24 June 2026 ·
grass
#436ATP
1490ELO
1505Grass ELO
22 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWWWWLWW
Galarneau A.
5-7 2-6
Tarvet O.
Galarneau A.
520
Tarvet O.
762

Oliver Tarvet advanced to the Wimbledon semifinals by defeating Alexis Galarneau 7-5, 6-2 on the grass courts. Tarvet secured 5 service breaks in the match, while Galarneau managed 2. With this win, Tarvet moves forward in the tournament.

Key context

  • Match story: Oliver Tarvet closed it out in two sets, 7–5 6–2.

Head to head

02
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-06-30WimbledonQ2grassOliver Tarvet6-3 6-2
2025-06-25WimbledonQ64grassOliver Tarvet6-3 6-2

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
60%
58%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
70%
81%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
50%
60%
Service points won·Slight edge
62%
72%
Return points won·Slight edge
39%
34%
Break points saved·Dominant
58%
85%
Aces / match·Dominant
3.4
9.0
Double faults / match·Dominant
4.6
2.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (38 vs 3). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 09:50 UTC
Galarneau A.58%
Tarvet O.42%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Galarneau A. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.2
Even matchUmpiry Score
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.6Grass Elo 1496
Surface ELO
5.4+33 Grass Elo edge
6.0Overall Elo 1624
ELO gap
4.0Overall Elo 1542
2.2Trails 0–2 on grass
H2H
7.8Leads 2–0 on grass
5.45 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
5.96 of last 10 on grass
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
91

Galarneau A.: 3 days rest · 1 match, 20 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
31°CClear
Wind 9 km/hHumidity 53%

Draw