Lorenzo Giustino vs Gauthier Onclin — Wimbledon Qualifying Round
Giustino L.
Lorenzo Giustino faces Gauthier Onclin in the Wimbledon qualifying round on grass. Gauthier Onclin holds the paper edge — ranked #186, a roughly 140-point grass Elo advantage.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 16:20 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Clear favourite · Onclin G. clearly ahead, but no certainty
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Freshness: Lorenzo Giustino comes in with 5 days of rest and 41 games in 14d, vs Gauthier Onclin's 6 and 92.
- Under pressure: In the tight moments, Gauthier Onclin has rated higher under pressure (Clutch Rating 48 vs 0).
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Form trajectory
Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (23 vs 19). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadGiustino L.: 5 days rest · 1 match, 23 games (7d) · Onclin G.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 26 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.