Mackenzie Mcdonald vs Roberto Carballes Baena — Wimbledon Qualifying Semi-final
USA13
Mcdonald M.
Mackenzie McDonald defeated Roberto Carballes Baena in the semifinals of Wimbledon, winning 6-4, 6-4 on the grass courts. McDonald secured two service breaks to Baena's zero, advancing to the next round.
Key context
- Match story: Mackenzie Mcdonald edged a tight contest from start to finish — 6–4 6–4.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (25 vs 28). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 12:50 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Toss-up · Too close to call
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Freshness
Recent loadMcdonald M.: 9 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Carballes Baena R.: 8 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About