Bu Yunchaokete vs Clement TaburWimbledon Qualifying Semi-final

Wimbledon · ATP · Qualifying Semi-final
1722ELO
1644Grass ELO
24 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WWWWWWWWWW
Sets
Wednesday, 24 June 2026 ·
grass
#191ATP
1605ELO
1472Grass ELO
$197kYTD
$638kCAREER
26 yrs · 173 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WLWLWWLLWW
Yunchaokete B.
vs
Tabur C.

Bu Yunchaokete faces Clement Tabur in the Wimbledon qualifying semi-final on grass. Bu Yunchaokete holds the paper edge — defending last year's round of 128, a roughly 170-point grass Elo advantage.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 15:20 UTC
Yunchaokete B.85%
Tabur C.15%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Yunchaokete B. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
8.1
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
7.2+172 Grass Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.8Grass Elo 1472
6.5Overall Elo 1722
ELO gap
3.5Overall Elo 1605
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
10.010 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
4.42 of last 5 on grass
10.015-match win streak
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
6.0Reached the R128 here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

25 vs 33 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
61%
61%
1st serve points won·Even
74%
73%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
58%
53%
Service points won·Even
68%
65%
Return points won·Slight edge
34%
40%
Break points saved·Slight edge
68%
63%
Aces / match·Clear edge
6.5
4.4
Double faults / match·Clear edge
1.3
2.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (25 vs 33). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Yunchaokete B.serving89% hold

wins 69% of points on serve vs Tabur C.

Tabur C.serving93% hold

wins 72% of points on serve vs Yunchaokete B.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
36
32
Break points saved·Clear edge
97
74
Break points won·Even
26
23
Deciding sets·Slight edge
37
45
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
19
32

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
86
77

Yunchaokete B.: 8 days rest · 4 matches (14d) · Tabur C.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 49 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather forecast
30°CClear
Wind 9 km/hHumidity 50%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Draw — qualifying

Quarter-finals