Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Matej Dodig — Wimbledon Qualifying Semi-final
Budkov Kjaer N.
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer faces Matej Dodig in the Wimbledon qualifying semi-final on grass. Nicolai Budkov Kjaer holds the paper edge — ranked #121, a roughly 80-point grass Elo advantage.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 23:20 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Strong favourite · Budkov Kjaer N. heavily favoured
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Freshness: Workload contrast: Nicolai Budkov Kjaer 45 games in 14 days, Matej Dodig 20.
- Under pressure: Nicolai Budkov Kjaer has the edge on pressure points (Clutch Rating 67 vs Matej Dodig's 26).
- Last match: Matej Dodig dropped the opening set before beating Frederico Ferreira Silva 3–6 7–6 7–6.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Form trajectory
Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (32 vs 21). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadBudkov Kjaer N.: 8 days rest · 2 matches (14d) · Dodig M.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.