Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Matej DodigWimbledon Qualifying Semi-final

Wimbledon · ATP · Qualifying Semi-final
#152ATP
1620ELO
1476Grass ELO
$293kYTD
$747kCAREER
19 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLWLLLWL
2 — 0
Sets
Wednesday, 24 June 2026 ·
grass
#257ATP
1461ELO
1431Grass ELO
21 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWLLWWWWW
Budkov Kjaer N.
6-2 7-6
Dodig M.
Budkov Kjaer N.
672
Dodig M.
260

Nicolai Budkov Kjaer defeated Matej Dodig in the semifinals of Wimbledon. The match ended with a score of 6-2, 7-6 in favor of Kjaer. Kjaer won 3 service breaks to Dodig's 1, and converted 33% of his break points to Dodig's 25%.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
65%
66%
1st serve points won·Even
69%
68%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
50%
Service points won·Even
62%
62%
Return points won·Even
38%
36%
Break points saved·Even
58%
58%
Aces / match·Slight edge
3.9
4.6
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.5
1.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (33 vs 22). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
67
33
Break points saved·Even
78
76
Break points won·Dominant
39
3
Deciding sets·Dominant
96
47
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
81
65

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 15:50 UTC
Budkov Kjaer N.82%
Dodig M.18%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Budkov Kjaer N. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
6.1
Even matchUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
4.9Grass Elo 1490
Surface ELO
5.1+10 Grass Elo edge
6.3Overall Elo 1642
ELO gap
3.7Overall Elo 1535
5.0First meeting on grass
H2H
5.0First meeting on grass
4.04 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
92
68

Budkov Kjaer N.: 4 days rest · 1 match, 19 games (7d) · Dodig M.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 64 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
35°CClear
Wind 14 km/hHumidity 38%

Draw