Gauthier Onclin vs Shintaro Mochizuki

Wimbledon · ATP · Qualifying Semi-final

BEL

Gauthier Onclin

#167ATP

1567ELO

1507Grass ELO

$100kYTD

$617kCAREER

25 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed

Last 10 · pre-match

LWWWLLWWLL

1 — 2

Sets

Wednesday, 24 June 2026 · 11:10

grass

JPN21

Shintaro Mochizuki

#117ATP

1475ELO

1520Grass ELO

$243kYTD

$1.6MCAREER

23 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed

Last 10 · pre-match

LWLWLWWWLW

Onclin G.

2-6 6-4 3-6

Mochizuki S.

Onclin G.

2631

Mochizuki S.

6462

Shintaro Mochizuki defeated Gauthier Onclin in the semifinals of Wimbledon. Mochizuki won the match 6-2, 4-6, 6-3, breaking Onclin's serve four times to Onclin's three. The victory advanced Mochizuki to the final.

Key context

Match story: Shintaro Mochizuki closed it out in three sets, 6–2 4–6 6–3.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season

Onclin G.serving86% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Mochizuki S.

Mochizuki S.serving72% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Onclin G.

Serve advantage — Onclin G.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on grass

Onclin G.Mochizuki S.

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Serve

—

Return

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the grass field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season

Onclin G.Mochizuki S.

1st serve in·Even

56%

52%

1st serve points won·Slight edge

73%

68%

2nd serve points won·Slight edge

54%

47%

Service points won·Slight edge

64%

58%

Return points won·Even

41%

39%

Break points saved·Even

62%

58%

Aces / match·Slight edge

2.0

3.1

Double faults / match·Clear edge

3.5

4.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (21 vs 21). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure

Onclin G.Mochizuki S.

Clutch Rating·Dominant

Break points saved·Dominant

Break points won·Dominant

Deciding sets·Dominant

Tiebreaks·Slight edge

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 09:50 UTC

Onclin G.71%

Mochizuki S.29%

Toss-up
50–58%

Slight edge
58–67%

Clear favourite
67–80%

Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Onclin G. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match

Onclin G.

6.4

Marginal edgeUmpiry Score

Mochizuki S.

6.2

Even matchUmpiry Score

Form & Matchup

4.9Grass Elo 1512

Surface ELO

5.1+9 Grass Elo edge

5.3Overall Elo 1572

ELO gap

4.7Overall Elo 1551

5.0First meeting on grass

H2H

5.0First meeting on grass

6.56 of last 10 on grass

Surface form

5.56 of last 10 on grass

Context

5.0Didn't play here last year

Defending pts

5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load

Onclin G.Mochizuki S.

Freshness·Clear edge

Onclin G.: 10 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Mochizuki S.: 3 days rest · 3 matches, 72 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed

Medium-fastrewards aggression

SlowFast

Weather

31°CClear

Wind 9 km/hHumidity 53%

Gauthier Onclin vs Shintaro Mochizuki — Wimbledon Qualifying Semi-final

Key context

Head to head

Serve vs return

Serve & return on grass

Statistics

Clutch

Win Probability

Umpiry Score

Freshness

Conditions

Draw

Serve vs return

Serve & return on grass