Liam Draxl vs Remy BertolaWimbledon Qualifying Round

Wimbledon · ATP · Qualifying Round
#159ATP
1589ELO
1455Grass ELO
$201kYTD
$642kCAREER
24 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LWWWLWWWLW
Sets
Monday, 22 June 2026 ·
grass
#197ATP
1526ELO
1463Grass ELO
$95kYTD
$329kCAREER
27 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LWWWWWLWWL
Draxl L.
vs
Bertola R.

Liam Draxl faces Remy Bertola in the Wimbledon qualifying round on grass. Liam Draxl holds the paper edge — ranked #159.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 15:22 UTC
Draxl L.57%
Bertola R.43%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

  • Freshness: Liam Draxl comes in with 15 days of rest and 0 games in 14d, vs Remy Bertola's 2 and 150.
  • Under pressure: In the tight moments, Liam Draxl has rated higher under pressure (Clutch Rating 67 vs 29).

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
6.9
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.9Grass Elo 1455
Surface ELO
5.1+8 Grass Elo edge
5.8Overall Elo 1589
ELO gap
4.2Overall Elo 1526
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
Surface form
7.57 of last 9 on grass
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
7.0Hard → Grass
Surface transition
Context
6.0Reached qualifying here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Draxl L.Stable

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

31 vs 32 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
64%
62%
1st serve points won·Even
68%
68%
2nd serve points won·Even
47%
51%
Service points won·Even
60%
62%
Return points won·Even
39%
38%
Break points saved·Slight edge
58%
63%
Aces / match·Even
4.7
4.4
Double faults / match·Even
3.3
3.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (31 vs 32). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Draxl L.serving81% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Bertola R.

Bertola R.serving83% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Draxl L.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
67
29
Break points saved·Clear edge
83
70
Break points won·Clear edge
36
13
Deciding sets·Dominant
94
43
Tiebreaks·Dominant
81
45

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
100
57

Draxl L.: 15 days rest · Bertola R.: 2 days rest · 5 matches, 117 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather forecast
26°CClear
Wind 18 km/hHumidity 57%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.