Hugo Gaston vs Federico Cina — Wimbledon Qualifying Semi-final

Wimbledon · ATP · Qualifying Semi-final
Hugo Gaston
FRA5
Hugo Gaston
#96ATP
1622ELO
1509Grass ELO
$376kYTD
$4.0MCAREER
25 yrs · 173 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWLLWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Wednesday, 24 June 2026 ·
grass
ITA
Federico Cina
#178ATP
1630ELO
1515Grass ELO
$296kYTD
$536kCAREER
19 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWWLWWLLW
Gaston H.
7-5 6-4
Cina F.
Gaston H.
762
Cina F.
540

Hugo Gaston defeated Federico Cina in the semifinals of Wimbledon. The match ended with a score of 7-5, 6-4 in favor of Gaston. Gaston converted 4 service breaks to Cina's 2.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
Gaston H.Cina F.
1st serve in·Slight edge
53%
63%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
67%
72%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
54%
Service points won·Slight edge
60%
65%
Return points won·Even
40%
38%
Break points saved·Slight edge
60%
65%
Aces / match·Clear edge
2.5
4.0
Double faults / match·Even
2.1
2.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (34 vs 32). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Gaston H.Cina F.
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
61
42
Break points saved·Even
85
87
Break points won·Slight edge
42
32
Deciding sets·Dominant
77
52
Tiebreaks·Dominant
82
28

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 12:50 UTC
Gaston H.63%
Cina F.37%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Gaston H. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Gaston H.
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Cina F.
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
4.9Grass Elo 1493
Surface ELO
5.1+7 Grass Elo edge
4.9Overall Elo 1642
ELO gap
5.1Overall Elo 1650
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
6.87 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Gaston H.Cina F.
Freshness·Slight edge
78
86

Gaston H.: 3 days rest · 1 match, 29 games (7d) · Cina F.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 21 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
35°CClear
Wind 8 km/hHumidity 37%

Draw