Nicolas Mejia vs Gustavo Heide — Wimbledon Qualifying Semi-final
Wimbledon · ATP · Qualifying Semi-final
#129ATP
1477ELO
1442Grass ELO
$142kYTD
$524kCAREER
26 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Wednesday, 24 June 2026 ·
grass
#131ATP
1695ELO
1517Grass ELO
$178kYTD
$620kCAREER
24 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWLWWWWW
Mejia N.6-4 6-3
Heide G.
Mejia N.
662
Heide G.
430
Nicolas Mejia defeated Gustavo Heide in the semifinals of Wimbledon. The match ended with a score of 6-4, 6-3 in favor of Mejia. Mejia converted 3 service breaks to Heide's 1.
Key context
- Match story: Nicolas Mejia closed it out in two sets, 6–4 6–3.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.
Statistics
This season1st serve in·Slight edge
61%
54%
1st serve points won·Even
70%
72%
2nd serve points won·Even
54%
51%
Service points won·Even
64%
62%
Return points won·Even
38%
42%
Break points saved·Even
62%
62%
Aces / match·Slight edge
5.4
4.1
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.3
5.7
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (30 vs 25). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 09:50 UTCMejia N.23%
Heide G.77%
Toss-up
50–58%
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+
80%+
Clear favourite · Heide G. clearly ahead, but no certainty
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Umpiry Score
Pre-match6.0
Even matchUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited6.8
Slight advantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limitedForm & Matchup
5.1+8 Grass Elo edge
Surface ELO4.9Grass Elo 1492
3.5Overall Elo 1566
ELO gap6.5Overall Elo 1688
5.0First meeting on grass
H2H5.0First meeting on grass
Win streak
9.06-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts5.0Didn't play here last year
The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Conditions
Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
31°CClear
Wind 9 km/hHumidity 53%