Henri Squire vs Michael Zheng — Wimbledon Qualifying Round

Wimbledon · ATP · Qualifying Round

GER

Henri Squire

#235ATP

1534ELO

1380Grass ELO

25 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed

Last 10

LLWWWLWWWL

—

Sets

Monday, 22 June 2026 · 11:00

grass

USA

Michael Zheng

#146ATP

1683ELO

1522Grass ELO

$307kYTD

$500kCAREER

22 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed

Last 10

LLLWWWLLLL

Squire H.

Zheng M.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 16:20 UTC

Squire H.16%

Zheng M.84%

Toss-up
50–58%

Slight edge
58–67%

Clear favourite
67–80%

Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Zheng M. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match

Squire H.

4.5

Heavy underdogUmpiry Score

Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)

Zheng M.

6.6

Marginal edgeUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited

Form & Matchup

3.2Grass Elo 1380

Surface ELO

6.8+142 Grass Elo edge

3.1Overall Elo 1534

ELO gap

6.9Overall Elo 1683

5.0No prior meetings

H2H

5.0No prior meetings

1.82 of last 10 on grass

Surface form

0.0Lost last 2

Win streak

0.0Lost last 3

Fatigue & Travel

3-set count

4.02 three-setters in 14 days

3.0Clay → Grass

Surface transition

Context

5.0Didn't play here last year

Defending pts

5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Squire H.Stable

Zheng M.Sliding

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

32 vs 12 matches

Statistics

This season

Squire H.Zheng M.

1st serve in·Slight edge

70%

64%

1st serve points won·Even

68%

67%

2nd serve points won·Even

47%

49%

Service points won·Even

62%

61%

Return points won·Even

38%

39%

Break points saved·Even

61%

59%

Aces / match·Slight edge

4.9

3.7

Double faults / match·Dominant

4.6

0.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (32 vs 12). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season

Squire H.serving83% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Zheng M.

Zheng M.serving83% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Squire H.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Freshness

Recent load

Squire H.Zheng M.

Freshness·Slight edge

Squire H.: 5 days rest · 1 match, 17 games (7d) · Zheng M.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 35 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed

Medium-fastrewards aggression

SlowFast

Weather forecast

26°CClear

Wind 18 km/hHumidity 57%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.