Roman Safiullin vs Kimmer CoppejansWimbledon Qualifying Semi-final

Wimbledon · ATP · Qualifying Semi-final
#127ATP
1735ELO
1587Grass ELO
$192kYTD
$4.3MCAREER
28 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WLWWLLWLWW
Sets
Wednesday, 24 June 2026 ·
grass
#222ATP
1562ELO
1464Grass ELO
32 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WLLWWLWLWL
Safiullin R.
vs
Coppejans K.

Roman Safiullin faces Kimmer Coppejans in the Wimbledon qualifying semi-final on grass. Roman Safiullin holds the paper edge — ranked #127, defending last year's round of 128, a roughly 120-point grass Elo advantage.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 15:20 UTC
Safiullin R.84%
Coppejans K.16%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Safiullin R. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.9
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.5+123 Grass Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.5Grass Elo 1464
7.2Overall Elo 1735
ELO gap
2.8Overall Elo 1562
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
5.45 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
7.57 of last 10 on grass
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
Context
6.0Reached the R128 here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

24 vs 34 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
64%
64%
1st serve points won·Even
69%
66%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
52%
47%
Service points won·Even
63%
59%
Return points won·Even
42%
44%
Break points saved·Even
60%
63%
Aces / match·Even
4.3
3.7
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.4
3.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (24 vs 34). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Safiullin R.serving76% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Coppejans K.

Coppejans K.serving72% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Safiullin R.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
62
45
Break points saved·Dominant
96
67
Break points won·Clear edge
44
29
Deciding sets·Slight edge
67
74
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
66
48

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
71
85

Safiullin R.: 4 days rest · 3 matches, 77 games (7d) · Coppejans K.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 18 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather forecast
30°CClear
Wind 9 km/hHumidity 50%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Draw — qualifying

Quarter-finals