Tristan Boyer vs Genaro Alberto OlivieriWimbledon Qualifying Round

Wimbledon · ATP · Qualifying Round
#191ATP
1575ELO
1460Grass ELO
$103kYTD
$957kCAREER
25 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LLWWWLLWWL
Sets
Monday, 22 June 2026 ·
grass
#202ATP
1513ELO
1382Grass ELO
27 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LWLWLWLWWW
Boyer T.
vs
Olivieri G.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 15:37 UTC
Boyer T.71%
Olivieri G.29%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Boyer T. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
4.5
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
Form & Matchup
6.0+78 Grass Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.0Grass Elo 1382
5.8Overall Elo 1575
ELO gap
4.2Overall Elo 1513
5.0First meeting on grass
H2H
5.0First meeting on grass
2.63 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
0.00 of last 6 on grass
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Surface transition
3.0Clay → Grass
Context
6.0Reached qualifying here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Boyer T.Cooling

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

20 vs 27 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
66%
76%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
64%
59%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
50%
Service points won·Even
60%
57%
Return points won·Even
41%
41%
Break points saved·Even
57%
57%
Aces / match·Clear edge
2.7
0.9
Double faults / match·Slight edge
1.7
1.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (20 vs 27). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Boyer T.serving76% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Olivieri G.

Olivieri G.serving70% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Boyer T.

Serve advantage — Boyer T.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
43
27
Break points saved·Dominant
83
25
Break points won·Even
20
20
Deciding sets·Clear edge
80
68
Tiebreaks·Dominant
6
63

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
78
81

Boyer T.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 22 games (7d) · Olivieri G.: 4 days rest · 2 matches, 49 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather forecast
26°CClear
Wind 18 km/hHumidity 57%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.