Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo vs Soon Woo KwonWimbledon Qualifying Round

Wimbledon · ATP · Qualifying Round
#216ATP
1561ELO
1480Grass ELO
27 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LLWWLWWWLW
Sets
Monday, 22 June 2026 ·
grass
1759ELO
1603Grass ELO
28 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LLWWWWWWWW
Sanchez Izquierdo N.
vs
Kwon S.

Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo faces Soon Woo Kwon in the Wimbledon qualifying round on grass. Soon Woo Kwon holds the paper edge — a roughly 120-point grass Elo advantage.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 15:37 UTC
Sanchez Izquierdo N.13%
Kwon S.87%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Kwon S. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.9
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
6.9
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.5Grass Elo 1480
Surface ELO
6.5+123 Grass Elo edge
2.5Overall Elo 1561
ELO gap
7.5Overall Elo 1759
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
Surface form
3.24 of last 10 on grass
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
0.03 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
3.0Clay → Grass
Surface transition
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

37 vs 22 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
65%
54%
1st serve points won·Clear edge
67%
80%
2nd serve points won·Even
54%
53%
Service points won·Slight edge
62%
68%
Return points won·Even
42%
43%
Break points saved·Clear edge
51%
70%
Aces / match·Dominant
1.8
7.6
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.4
3.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (37 vs 22). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Sanchez Izquierdo N.serving76% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Kwon S.

Kwon S.serving87% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Sanchez Izquierdo N.

Serve advantage — Kwon S.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
20
67
Break points saved·Dominant
27
94
Break points won·Even
29
33
Deciding sets·Slight edge
69
77
Tiebreaks·Dominant
2
95

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
80
86

Sanchez Izquierdo N.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 27 games (7d) · Kwon S.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 39 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather forecast
27°CClear
Wind 19 km/hHumidity 51%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.