Federico Coria vs Stefanos Sakellaridis — Wimbledon Qualifying Semi-final

Wimbledon · ATP · Qualifying Semi-final
Federico Coria
ARG
Federico Coria
#887ATP
1560ELO
1382Grass ELO
34 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WLLWWLLWLL
—
Sets
Wednesday, 24 June 2026 ·
grass
GRE
Stefanos Sakellaridis
#146ATP
1634ELO
1542Grass ELO
$122kYTD
$338kCAREER
21 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WLWWLWWWWW
Coria F.
vs
Sakellaridis S.

Federico Coria faces Stefanos Sakellaridis in the Wimbledon qualifying semi-final on grass. Stefanos Sakellaridis holds the paper edge — ranked #146, a roughly 160-point grass Elo advantage.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 18:20 UTC
Coria F.18%
Sakellaridis S.82%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Sakellaridis S. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Coria F.
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Sakellaridis S.
7.1
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.0Grass Elo 1382
Surface ELO
7.0+161 Grass Elo edge
4.1Overall Elo 1560
ELO gap
5.9Overall Elo 1634
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
1.61 of last 9 on grass
Surface form
6.23 of last 5 on grass
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Coria F.Risingearly
Sakellaridis S.Stable

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

3 vs 36 matches

Statistics

This season
Coria F.Sakellaridis S.
1st serve in·Slight edge
67%
59%
1st serve points won·Clear edge
57%
73%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
52%
Service points won·Slight edge
55%
64%
Return points won·Even
38%
40%
Break points saved·Slight edge
68%
57%
Aces / match·Dominant
0.7
6.5
Double faults / match·Clear edge
1.0
2.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (3 vs 36). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Coria F.serving73% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Sakellaridis S.

Sakellaridis S.serving87% hold

wins 68% of points on serve vs Coria F.

Serve advantage — Sakellaridis S.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Coria F.Sakellaridis S.
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
68
46
Break points saved·Slight edge
71
63
Break points won·Dominant
72
9
Deciding sets·Even
80
83
Tiebreaks·Even
73
76

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Coria F.Sakellaridis S.
Freshness·Slight edge
85
77

Coria F.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 21 games (7d) · Sakellaridis S.: 4 days rest · 3 matches, 69 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather forecast
32°CClear
Wind 12 km/hHumidity 48%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Draw — qualifying

Quarter-finals
Semi-finals
Comesana F.
Moro Canas A.
6-46-754-6
Moreno De Alboran N.
Mayot H.
2-62-6
Sanchez Izquierdo N.
Kwon S.
6-773-6
Brancaccio R.
Gea A.
5-73-6
Faria J.
Grenier H.
6-36-3
Lajal M.
Pavlovic L.
4-64-6
Chidekh C.
Dougaz A.
4-64-6
Matusevich A.
Sakamoto R.
6-766-33-6
Yunchaokete B.
Dellien H.
6-46-0
Gomez F.
Tabur C.
3-64-6
Giustino L.
Onclin G.
3-65-7
Sachko V.
Mochizuki S.
3-66-74
Wong C.
Gojo B.
6-7102-6
Andrade A.
Smith C.
3-66-43-6
Djere L.
Houkes M.
6-47-5
Squire H.
Zheng M.
2-66-73
Gaston H.
Midon L.
4-66-36-4
Cadenasso G.
Cina F.
3-62-6
Smith K.
Ficovich J.
6-17-64
Butvilas E.
Echargui M.
6-35-73-6
Basilashvili N.
Ymer E.
6-23-66-78
Skatov T.
Barrena A.
6-37-64
Guerrieri A.
Goffin D.
3-67-56-2
Boscardin Dias P.
Jacquet K.
1-66-73
Llamas Ruiz P.
Added D.
6-26-4
Bailly G.
Martin Tiffon P.
4-64-6
Boyer T.
Olivieri G.
6-16-4
Clarke J.
Pellegrino A.
6-26-754-6
Budkov Kjaer N.
Reis Da Silva J.
6-46-766-1
Dodig M.
Ferreira Silva F.
3-67-607-65
Noguchi R.
Nardi L.
2-63-6
Virtanen O.
Martinez P.
6-41-66-1
Rocha H.
Mejia N.
4-67-662-6
Tseng C.
Heide G.
6-784-6
Prado Angelo J.
Evans D.
6-723-6
Monday J.
Schoolkate T.
5-73-6
Maestrelli F.
Basing M.
6-46-724-6
Gentzsch T.
Kolar Z.
6-36-3
Draxl L.
Bertola R.
6-26-731-6
Crawford O.
Rodionov J.
4-64-6
Sweeny D.
Roncadelli F.
6-46-2
Blanch D.
Blanchet U.
Herbert P.
Jubb P.
5-76-76
Cecchinato M.
Barrios Vera T.
6-723-6
Diaz Acosta F.
Galarneau A.
2-62-6
Tarvet O.
Bolt A.
7-637-5
Coria F.
Bonding O.
7-656-2
Hsu Y.
Sakellaridis S.
4-62-6
Mcdonald M.
Meligeni Alves F.
6-26-756-3
M. Ceban
Carballes Baena R.
2-64-6
Uchida K.
Tomic B.
3-62-6
Schwaerzler J.
C. O'Connell
6-734-6
Gaubas V.
Mmoh M.
4-66-36-2
Zhang Z.
Searle H.
3-64-6
Bax F.
Rodesch C.
7-641-64-6
Neumayer L.
Lajovic D.
4-64-6
Safiullin R.
Mccabe J.
6-37-64
Glinka D.
Coppejans K.
4-63-6
Kym J.
Bueno G.
4-67-56-1
Broady L.
Holmgren A.
6-766-45-7
Travaglia S.
Mikrut L.
7-57-63
Den Ouden G.
Zhou Y.
4-64-6
Piros Z.
Ivanov I.
6-26-2
Napolitano S.
Harris B.
2-62-6
Moro Canas A.
Mayot H.
Kwon S.
Gea A.
Faria J.
Pavlovic L.
Dougaz A.
Sakamoto R.
Yunchaokete B.
Tabur C.
Onclin G.
Mochizuki S.
Gojo B.
Smith C.
Djere L.
Zheng M.
Gaston H.
Cina F.
Smith K.
Echargui M.
Ymer E.
Skatov T.
Guerrieri A.
Jacquet K.
Llamas Ruiz P.
Martin Tiffon P.
Boyer T.
Pellegrino A.
Budkov Kjaer N.
Dodig M.
Nardi L.
Virtanen O.
Mejia N.
Heide G.
Evans D.
Schoolkate T.
Basing M.
Gentzsch T.
Bertola R.
Rodionov J.
Sweeny D.
—
Jubb P.
Barrios Vera T.
Galarneau A.
Tarvet O.
Coria F.
Sakellaridis S.
Mcdonald M.
Carballes Baena R.
Tomic B.
C. O'Connell
Gaubas V.
Searle H.
Rodesch C.
Lajovic D.
Safiullin R.
Coppejans K.
Kym J.
Holmgren A.
Travaglia S.
Zhou Y.
Piros Z.
Harris B.