Federico Coria vs Stefanos SakellaridisWimbledon Qualifying Semi-final

Wimbledon · ATP · Qualifying Semi-final
#897ATP
1537ELO
1370Grass ELO
$89kYTD
$3.5MCAREER
34 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLLWWLLW
0 — 2
Sets
Wednesday, 24 June 2026 ·
grass
#134ATP
1631ELO
1559Grass ELO
$226kYTD
$442kCAREER
22 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLLWWWW
Coria F.
3-6 4-6
Sakellaridis S.
Coria F.
340
Sakellaridis S.
662

Stefanos Sakellaridis defeated Federico Coria in the semifinals of Wimbledon, prevailing 6-3, 6-4 on the grass courts. Sakellaridis hit six aces and did not commit a double fault, while converting 50% of his break points and winning 100% of his first-serve points. Coria did not manage to break Sakellaridis' serve.

Generated automatically from Umpiry match data.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
66%
58%
1st serve points won·Clear edge
59%
73%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
46%
52%
Service points won·Slight edge
55%
64%
Return points won·Even
35%
39%
Break points saved·Even
61%
58%
Aces / match·Dominant
1.9
6.7
Double faults / match·Even
2.3
2.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (7 vs 37). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
49
46
Break points saved·Dominant
33
63
Break points won·Dominant
76
9
Deciding sets·Even
80
83
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
66
76

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 09:50 UTC
Coria F.22%
Sakellaridis S.78%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Sakellaridis S. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
6.7
Slight advantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
4.6Grass Elo 1470
Surface ELO
5.4+30 Grass Elo edge
4.7Overall Elo 1601
ELO gap
5.3Overall Elo 1629
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
1.61 of last 9 on grass
Surface form
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
92

Sakellaridis S.: 11 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
31°CClear
Wind 9 km/hHumidity 53%

Draw