Federico Coria vs Stefanos SakellaridisWimbledon Qualifying Semi-final

Wimbledon · ATP · Qualifying Semi-final
#826ATP
1537ELO
1370Grass ELO
34 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLWWLLWW
0 — 2
Sets
Wednesday, 24 June 2026 ·
grass
#155ATP
1631ELO
1559Grass ELO
$125kYTD
$341kCAREER
21 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWLWWWW
Coria F.
3-6 4-6
Sakellaridis S.
Coria F.
340
Sakellaridis S.
662

Stefanos Sakellaridis defeated Federico Coria in the semifinals of Wimbledon, prevailing 6-3, 6-4 on the grass courts. Sakellaridis hit six aces and did not commit a double fault, while converting 50% of his break points and winning 100% of his first-serve points. Coria did not manage to break Sakellaridis' serve.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
66%
58%
1st serve points won·Clear edge
59%
73%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
46%
52%
Service points won·Slight edge
55%
64%
Return points won·Even
35%
39%
Break points saved·Even
61%
58%
Aces / match·Dominant
1.9
6.7
Double faults / match·Even
2.3
2.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (7 vs 37). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
50
46
Break points saved·Dominant
33
63
Break points won·Dominant
77
9
Deciding sets·Even
80
83
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
66
76

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 09:50 UTC
Coria F.22%
Sakellaridis S.78%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Sakellaridis S. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
6.7
Slight advantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
4.6Grass Elo 1470
Surface ELO
5.4+30 Grass Elo edge
4.7Overall Elo 1601
ELO gap
5.3Overall Elo 1629
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
1.61 of last 9 on grass
Surface form
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
97

Coria F.: 9 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
31°CClear
Wind 9 km/hHumidity 53%

Draw