Daniil Glinka vs Kimmer CoppejansWimbledon Qualifying Round

Wimbledon · ATP · Qualifying Round
#170ATP
1528ELO
1514Grass ELO
$126kYTD
$263kCAREER
26 yrs · 188 cm · Left-handed
Last 10
LLLWLWLWLL
Sets
Monday, 22 June 2026 ·
grass
#221ATP
1550ELO
1458Grass ELO
32 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LLWWLWLWLL
Glinka D.
vs
Coppejans K.

Daniil Glinka faces Kimmer Coppejans in the Wimbledon qualifying round on grass. Daniil Glinka holds the paper edge — ranked #170, a roughly 60-point grass Elo advantage.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 16:20 UTC
Glinka D.61%
Coppejans K.39%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Glinka D. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
Form & Matchup
5.7+56 Grass Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.3Grass Elo 1458
4.7Overall Elo 1528
ELO gap
5.3Overall Elo 1550
5.0First meeting on grass
H2H
5.0First meeting on grass
Surface form
7.06 of last 10 on grass
0.0Lost last 3
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
0.03 three-setters in 14 days
Surface transition
3.0Clay → Grass
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

30 vs 34 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
58%
64%
1st serve points won·Even
70%
66%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
47%
Service points won·Even
61%
59%
Return points won·Slight edge
39%
44%
Break points saved·Even
59%
63%
Aces / match·Slight edge
4.9
3.7
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.7
3.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (30 vs 34). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Glinka D.serving72% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Coppejans K.

Coppejans K.serving78% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Glinka D.

Serve advantage — Coppejans K.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
20
45
Break points saved·Clear edge
82
67
Break points won·Clear edge
9
29
Deciding sets·Dominant
6
74
Tiebreaks·Even
52
48

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
87
83

Glinka D.: 5 days rest · 1 match, 32 games (7d) · Coppejans K.: 5 days rest · 1 match, 18 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather forecast
26°CClear
Wind 18 km/hHumidity 57%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.