Stefano Travaglia vs Luka Mikrut — Wimbledon Qualifying Round
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Travaglia S.
Stefano Travaglia faces Luka Mikrut in the Wimbledon qualifying round on grass. Stefano Travaglia is the paper favourite — ranked #132 — but Luka Mikrut rides a 4-match win streak.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 16:20 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Slight edge · Mikrut L. narrowly ahead
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Freshness: Workload contrast: Stefano Travaglia 51 games in 14 days, Luka Mikrut 0.
- Under pressure: Luka Mikrut has the edge on pressure points (Clutch Rating 55 vs Stefano Travaglia's 33).
- Win streak: Luka Mikrut arrives on a 4-match winning run.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Form trajectory
Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (35 vs 14). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadTravaglia S.: 4 days rest · 2 matches, 51 games (7d) · Mikrut L.: 15 days rest. Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.