Oliver Crawford vs Jurij Rodionov — Wimbledon Qualifying Round
Crawford O.
Oliver Crawford faces Jurij Rodionov in the Wimbledon qualifying round on grass. Jurij Rodionov holds the paper edge — ranked #152, a roughly 50-point grass Elo advantage. Recent grass form is closely matched.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 16:20 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Clear favourite · Rodionov J. clearly ahead, but no certainty
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Freshness: Workload contrast: Oliver Crawford 139 games in 14 days, Jurij Rodionov 120.
- Under pressure: Jurij Rodionov has the edge on pressure points (Clutch Rating 42 vs Oliver Crawford's 12).
- Stage: Oliver Crawford defends last year's round of 128.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Form trajectory
Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (17 vs 30). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadCrawford O.: 4 days rest · 4 matches, 106 games (7d) · Rodionov J.: 1 day rest · 5 matches, 98 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.