Daniel Evans vs Tristan Schoolkate — Wimbledon Qualifying Semi-final

Wimbledon · ATP · Qualifying Semi-final
Daniel Evans
GBR
Daniel Evans
#823ATP
1588ELO
1584Grass ELO
36 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLLWLLLLLL
0 — 2
Sets
Wednesday, 24 June 2026 ·
grass
AUS28
Tristan Schoolkate
#187ATP
1549ELO
1533Grass ELO
$250kYTD
$1.5MCAREER
25 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWLWLWLL
Evans D.
5-7 0-6
Schoolkate T.
Evans D.
500
Schoolkate T.
762

Tristan Schoolkate defeated Daniel Evans in the semifinals of Wimbledon, winning in straight sets 7-5, 6-0. Schoolkate secured four service breaks to Evans' one. This victory advances Schoolkate to the final.

Around the match

Quotes belong to their sources, linked above.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
Evans D.Schoolkate T.
1st serve in·Slight edge
52%
62%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
67%
73%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
44%
52%
Service points won·Slight edge
56%
65%
Return points won·Even
35%
36%
Break points saved·Clear edge
44%
61%
Aces / match·Dominant
2.0
7.2
Double faults / match·Clear edge
4.3
3.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (4 vs 30). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Evans D.Schoolkate T.
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
57
46
Break points saved·Even
93
90
Break points won·Dominant
59
0
Deciding sets·Clear edge
70
85
Tiebreaks·Even
32
33

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 09:50 UTC
Evans D.60%
Schoolkate T.40%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Evans D. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Evans D.
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
Schoolkate T.
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.5+38 Grass Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.5Grass Elo 1520
5.1Overall Elo 1617
ELO gap
4.9Overall Elo 1611
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
5.05 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
5.05 of last 10 on grass
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
4.8Won 46% in United Kingdom (24)
Country comfort
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Evans D.Schoolkate T.
Freshness·
—
92

Schoolkate T.: 2 days rest · 1 match, 15 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
31°CClear
Wind 9 km/hHumidity 53%

Draw