Jaime Faria vs Hugo GrenierWimbledon Qualifying Round

Wimbledon · ATP · Qualifying Round
#93ATP
1709ELO
1617Grass ELO
$527kYTD
$1.4MCAREER
22 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LWLWWWWWLW
Sets
Monday, 22 June 2026 ·
grass
#223ATP
1563ELO
1466Grass ELO
30 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LLLLLLLLLW
Faria J.
vs
Grenier H.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 15:37 UTC
Faria J.83%
Grenier H.17%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Faria J. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.5
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
5.1
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.9+151 Grass Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.1Grass Elo 1466
6.8Overall Elo 1709
ELO gap
3.2Overall Elo 1563
5.0First meeting on grass
H2H
5.0First meeting on grass
7.88 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
1.92 of last 10 on grass
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 10
Context
6.0Reached final qualifying here last year
Defending pts
6.0Reached qualifying here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Faria J.Cooling
Grenier H.Cooling

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

42 vs 15 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
58%
65%
1st serve points won·Even
72%
70%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
52%
44%
Service points won·Even
64%
61%
Return points won·Even
40%
36%
Break points saved·Slight edge
59%
53%
Aces / match·Even
5.7
6.1
Double faults / match·Dominant
4.5
2.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (42 vs 15). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Faria J.serving89% hold

wins 69% of points on serve vs Grenier H.

Grenier H.serving79% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Faria J.

Serve advantage — Faria J.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
54
37
Break points saved·Slight edge
76
86
Break points won·Clear edge
22
8
Deciding sets·Clear edge
81
65
Tiebreaks·Dominant
75
23

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
88
94

Faria J.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 41 games (7d) · Grenier H.: 8 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather forecast
26°CClear
Wind 18 km/hHumidity 57%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.