Edas Butvilas vs Moez EcharguiWimbledon Qualifying Round

Wimbledon · ATP · Qualifying Round
#229ATP
1544ELO
1456Grass ELO
21 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LLWLWLLLWW
Sets
Monday, 22 June 2026 ·
grass
#150ATP
1435ELO
1417Grass ELO
$168kYTD
$467kCAREER
33 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LLLLLLLLLL
Butvilas E.
vs
Echargui M.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 15:22 UTC
Butvilas E.74%
Echargui M.26%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Butvilas E. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
5.5+39 Grass Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.5Grass Elo 1417
6.4Overall Elo 1544
ELO gap
3.6Overall Elo 1434
5.0First meeting on grass
H2H
5.0First meeting on grass
1.11 of last 7 on grass
Surface form
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0Lost last 11
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
Context
6.0Reached qualifying here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

35 vs 23 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
63%
60%
1st serve points won·Even
71%
68%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
51%
Service points won·Even
64%
61%
Return points won·Slight edge
39%
34%
Break points saved·Slight edge
66%
56%
Aces / match·Slight edge
5.1
4.3
Double faults / match·Even
2.0
1.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (35 vs 23). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Butvilas E.serving92% hold

wins 71% of points on serve vs Echargui M.

Echargui M.serving81% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Butvilas E.

Serve advantage — Butvilas E.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
21
3
Break points saved·Dominant
85
48
Break points won·Slight edge
4
11
Deciding sets·Slight edge
15
4
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
42
36

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
91
95

Butvilas E.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 29 games (7d) · Echargui M.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 19 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather forecast
27°CClear
Wind 19 km/hHumidity 51%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.