Gianluca Cadenasso vs Federico CinaWimbledon Qualifying Round

Wimbledon · ATP · Qualifying Round
#194ATP
1528ELO
1464Grass ELO
$17kYTD
$212kCAREER
21 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LLLWLWWWLW
Sets
Monday, 22 June 2026 ·
grass
#181ATP
1550ELO
1475Grass ELO
$293kYTD
$533kCAREER
19 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LWWWLWWWWL
Cadenasso G.
vs
Cina F.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 15:37 UTC
Cadenasso G.44%
Cina F.56%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.1
Clear underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
Form & Matchup
4.9Grass Elo 1464
Surface ELO
5.1+11 Grass Elo edge
4.7Overall Elo 1528
ELO gap
5.3Overall Elo 1550
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
0.0Lost last 3
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3.0Clay → Grass
Surface transition
3.0Clay → Grass
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

20 vs 23 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
64%
63%
1st serve points won·Even
66%
70%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
48%
Service points won·Even
60%
62%
Return points won·Slight edge
45%
39%
Break points saved·Clear edge
50%
66%
Aces / match·Slight edge
2.3
3.3
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.6
2.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (20 vs 23). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Cadenasso G.serving80% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Cina F.

Cina F.serving72% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Cadenasso G.

Serve advantage — Cadenasso G.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
100
84

Cadenasso G.: 20 days rest · Cina F.: 8 days rest · 4 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather forecast
26°CClear
Wind 18 km/hHumidity 57%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.