Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Dan AddedWimbledon Qualifying Round

Wimbledon · ATP · Qualifying Round
#120ATP
1734ELO
1558Grass ELO
$160kYTD
$776kCAREER
23 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LWLWWWLWWW
Sets
Monday, 22 June 2026 ·
grass
#240ATP
1426ELO
1413Grass ELO
27 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LLLLLLLLWL
Llamas Ruiz P.
vs
Added D.

Pablo Llamas Ruiz faces Dan Added in the Wimbledon qualifying round on grass. Pablo Llamas Ruiz holds the paper edge — ranked #120, a roughly 150-point grass Elo advantage.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 15:37 UTC
Llamas Ruiz P.91%
Added D.9%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Llamas Ruiz P. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

  • Freshness: Pablo Llamas Ruiz comes in with 16 days of rest and 0 games in 14d, vs Dan Added's 7 and 18.
  • Under pressure: In the tight moments, Pablo Llamas Ruiz has rated higher under pressure (Clutch Rating 63 vs 21).

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
5.2
Clear underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
6.8+145 Grass Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.2Grass Elo 1413
8.8Overall Elo 1734
ELO gap
1.2Overall Elo 1426
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
3.12 of last 6 on grass
Surface form
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 8
Fatigue & Travel
3.0Clay → Grass
Surface transition
Context
6.0Reached qualifying here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

34 vs 17 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Clear edge
73%
58%
1st serve points won·Even
69%
67%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
48%
Service points won·Slight edge
64%
59%
Return points won·Slight edge
42%
36%
Break points saved·Even
60%
57%
Aces / match·Clear edge
2.1
4.5
Double faults / match·Clear edge
1.0
2.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (34 vs 17). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Llamas Ruiz P.serving89% hold

wins 69% of points on serve vs Added D.

Added D.serving72% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Llamas Ruiz P.

Serve advantage — Llamas Ruiz P.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
63
21
Break points saved·Slight edge
88
81
Break points won·Dominant
39
9
Deciding sets·Dominant
79
31
Tiebreaks·Dominant
72
15

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
100
96

Llamas Ruiz P.: 16 days rest · Added D.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 18 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather forecast
26°CClear
Wind 18 km/hHumidity 57%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.