Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva — Wimbledon Qualifying Round
Budkov Kjaer N.
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer faces Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva in the Wimbledon qualifying round on grass. Nicolai Budkov Kjaer holds the paper edge — ranked #121, a roughly 80-point grass Elo advantage.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 15:37 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Strong favourite · Budkov Kjaer N. heavily favoured
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Freshness: Workload contrast: Nicolai Budkov Kjaer 45 games in 14 days, Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva 100.
- Under pressure: Nicolai Budkov Kjaer has the edge on pressure points (Clutch Rating 67 vs Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva's 11).
Umpiry Score
Pre-match- Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Form trajectory
Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (32 vs 26). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadBudkov Kjaer N.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 26 games (7d) · Reis Da Silva J.: 3 days rest · 3 matches, 64 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.