Johannus Monday vs Tristan SchoolkateWimbledon Qualifying Round

Wimbledon · ATP · Qualifying Round
#294ATP
1450ELO
1375Grass ELO
24 yrs · 198 cm · Left-handed
Last 10
LLLLWWWWLW
Sets
Monday, 22 June 2026 ·
grass
#149ATP
1550ELO
1534Grass ELO
$246kYTD
$1.5MCAREER
25 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LWLLLWLLWW
Monday J.
vs
Schoolkate T.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 15:37 UTC
Monday J.26%
Schoolkate T.74%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Schoolkate T. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.0Grass Elo 1375
Surface ELO
7.0+159 Grass Elo edge
3.7Overall Elo 1450
ELO gap
6.3Overall Elo 1550
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
5.76 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
3.84 of last 10 on grass
0.0Lost last 4
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
5.5Home country · 1/4 here
Country comfort
Context
6.0Reached the R128 here last year
Defending pts
6.0Reached qualifying here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

14 vs 31 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
64%
61%
1st serve points won·Even
73%
74%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
57%
52%
Service points won·Even
67%
66%
Return points won·Even
34%
35%
Break points saved·Slight edge
72%
63%
Aces / match·Clear edge
5.5
7.4
Double faults / match·Dominant
1.9
3.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (14 vs 31). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Monday J.serving93% hold

wins 73% of points on serve vs Schoolkate T.

Schoolkate T.serving93% hold

wins 73% of points on serve vs Monday J.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
96
93

Monday J.: 8 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Schoolkate T.: 9 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather forecast
27°CClear
Wind 19 km/hHumidity 51%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.