Clement Chidekh vs Aziz DougazWimbledon Qualifying Round

Wimbledon · ATP · Qualifying Round
#200ATP
1544ELO
1441Grass ELO
$92kYTD
$401kCAREER
25 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LLLWWWLWLL
Sets
Monday, 22 June 2026 ·
grass
#646ATP
1390ELO
1366Grass ELO
29 yrs · 188 cm · Left-handed
Last 10
LLLLLLWLLW
Chidekh C.
vs
Dougaz A.

Clement Chidekh faces Aziz Dougaz in the Wimbledon qualifying round on grass. Clement Chidekh holds the paper edge — ranked #200, a roughly 80-point grass Elo advantage.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 15:37 UTC
Chidekh C.79%
Dougaz A.21%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Chidekh C. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

  • Freshness: Clement Chidekh comes in with 6 days of rest and 65 games in 14d, vs Aziz Dougaz's 8 and 18.
  • Under pressure: In the tight moments, Clement Chidekh has rated higher under pressure (Clutch Rating 30 vs 8).

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
5.1
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.9+76 Grass Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.1Grass Elo 1366
6.9Overall Elo 1544
ELO gap
3.1Overall Elo 1390
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
4.96 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
0.00 of last 7 on grass
0.0Lost last 3
Win streak
0.0Lost last 5
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
6.0Reached qualifying here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Chidekh C.Cooling
Dougaz A.Coolingearly

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

35 vs 5 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
64%
59%
1st serve points won·Even
70%
72%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
53%
Service points won·Even
63%
64%
Return points won·Even
41%
37%
Break points saved·Even
60%
62%
Aces / match·Clear edge
3.6
5.6
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.9
4.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (35 vs 5). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Chidekh C.serving87% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Dougaz A.

Dougaz A.serving82% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Chidekh C.

Serve advantage — Chidekh C.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
30
8
Break points saved·Even
83
86
Break points won·Slight edge
9
2
Deciding sets·Dominant
53
2
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
12
4

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
86
96

Chidekh C.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 29 games (7d) · Dougaz A.: 8 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather forecast
26°CClear
Wind 18 km/hHumidity 57%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.