Soon Woo Kwon vs Arthur GeaWimbledon Qualifying Semi-final

Wimbledon · ATP · Qualifying Semi-final
#153ATP
1744ELO
1589Grass ELO
28 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWLWW
2 — 1
Sets
Wednesday, 24 June 2026 ·
grass
#82ATP
1597ELO
1505Grass ELO
$359kYTD
$611kCAREER
21 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWWLWWWW
Woo Kwon S.
5-7 6-3 6-4
Gea A.
Woo Kwon S.
5662
Gea A.
7341

Soon Woo Kwon defeated Arthur Gea in the Wimbledon semifinals, 5-7, 6-3, 6-4. Kwon converted 45% of his break points and secured five service breaks to Gea's four. Kwon hit four aces and eight double faults, while Gea had 15 aces and nine double faults.

Key context

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-07-29Los CabosR32hardArthur Gea4-6 7-6(8) 2-6

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
53%
59%
1st serve points won·Even
79%
75%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
51%
Service points won·Even
67%
65%
Return points won·Even
42%
39%
Break points saved·Even
70%
66%
Aces / match·Slight edge
7.1
5.9
Double faults / match·Slight edge
3.8
3.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (25 vs 33). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
52
38
Break points saved·Slight edge
86
81
Break points won·Slight edge
18
27
Deciding sets·Dominant
72
26
Tiebreaks·Even
87
85

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 13:50 UTC
Woo Kwon S.78%
Gea A.22%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Woo Kwon S. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
6.2
Even matchUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
5.2+13 Grass Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.8Grass Elo 1501
6.2Overall Elo 1719
ELO gap
3.9Overall Elo 1627
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
4.04 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
58
61

Woo Kwon S.: 1 day rest · 4 matches, 92 games (7d) · Gea A.: 3 days rest · 5 matches, 123 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
36°CClear
Wind 11 km/hHumidity 36%

Draw