Otto Virtanen vs Pedro MartinezWimbledon Qualifying Round

Wimbledon · ATP · Qualifying Round
#160ATP
1706ELO
1695Grass ELO
$193kYTD
$1.5MCAREER
25 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LWWWWLLWWW
Sets
Monday, 22 June 2026 ·
grass
#136ATP
1593ELO
1458Grass ELO
$332kYTD
$6.0MCAREER
29 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LLWLLWWLWW
Virtanen O.
vs
Martinez P.

Otto Virtanen faces Pedro Martinez in the Wimbledon qualifying round on grass. Pedro Martinez holds the paper edge — ranked #136, defending last year's round of 32.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 15:37 UTC
Virtanen O.85%
Martinez P.15%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Virtanen O. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.4
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
4.4
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
Form & Matchup
8.0+238 Grass Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.0Grass Elo 1458
6.4Overall Elo 1706
ELO gap
3.6Overall Elo 1593
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
6.87 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
2.92 of last 10 on grass
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Surface transition
3.0Clay → Grass
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
6.0Reached the R32 here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

24 vs 29 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
60%
67%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
75%
66%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
48%
Service points won·Slight edge
66%
60%
Return points won·Even
37%
40%
Break points saved·Slight edge
67%
59%
Aces / match·Dominant
8.6
1.8
Double faults / match·Slight edge
3.5
2.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (24 vs 29). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Virtanen O.serving87% hold

wins 68% of points on serve vs Martinez P.

Martinez P.serving83% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Virtanen O.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
45
66
Break points saved·Even
94
94
Break points won·Dominant
3
41
Deciding sets·Dominant
48
74
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
87
82

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
44
85

Virtanen O.: 1 day rest · 5 matches, 124 games (7d) · Martinez P.: 5 days rest · 1 match, 26 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather forecast
26°CClear
Wind 18 km/hHumidity 57%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.