Gilles Arnaud Bailly vs Pol Martin TiffonWimbledon Qualifying Round

Wimbledon · ATP · Qualifying Round
#215ATP
1513ELO
1507Grass ELO
20 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LWLLLLWWLW
Sets
Monday, 22 June 2026 ·
grass
#220ATP
1561ELO
1448Grass ELO
26 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LWWLWWLLWW
Bailly G.
vs
Martin Tiffon P.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 15:37 UTC
Bailly G.44%
Martin Tiffon P.56%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.2
Clear underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
5.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
Form & Matchup
5.7+59 Grass Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.3Grass Elo 1448
4.4Overall Elo 1513
ELO gap
5.6Overall Elo 1561
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
3.0Clay → Grass
Surface transition
3.0Clay → Grass
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
6.0Reached qualifying here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

19 vs 42 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
62%
60%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
65%
71%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
53%
Service points won·Even
59%
63%
Return points won·Even
39%
40%
Break points saved·Even
58%
62%
Aces / match·Clear edge
1.6
3.3
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.2
2.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (19 vs 42). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Bailly G.serving76% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Martin Tiffon P.

Martin Tiffon P.serving84% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Bailly G.

Serve advantage — Martin Tiffon P.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
81

Bailly G.: 4 days rest · 2 matches, 48 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather forecast
26°CClear
Wind 18 km/hHumidity 57%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.