Jaime Faria vs Luka Pavlovic — Wimbledon Qualifying Semi-final
POR
Faria J.
Jaime Faria faces Luka Pavlovic in the Wimbledon qualifying semi-final on grass. Jaime Faria holds the paper edge — ranked #97, defending last year's round of 128, a roughly 170-point grass Elo advantage.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 15:20 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Strong favourite · Faria J. heavily favoured
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Freshness: Jaime Faria comes in with 6 days of rest and 41 games in 14d, vs Luka Pavlovic's 14 and 21.
- Last match: Jaime Faria dropped just 6 games past Hugo Grenier.
- Stage: Jaime Faria defends last year's round of 128.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Form trajectory
Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (42 vs 23). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadFaria J.: 6 days rest · 2 matches, 41 games (7d) · Pavlovic L.: 14 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.