Jaime Faria vs Luka PavlovicWimbledon Qualifying Semi-final

Wimbledon · ATP · Qualifying Semi-final
#79ATP
1735ELO
1624Grass ELO
$531kYTD
$1.4MCAREER
22 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWLWLWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Wednesday, 24 June 2026 ·
grass
#204ATP
1510ELO
1483Grass ELO
26 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWLLWL
Faria J.
6-4 6-4
Pavlovic L.
Faria J.
662
Pavlovic L.
440

Jaime Faria defeated Luka Pavlovic in the semifinals of Wimbledon on grass, winning in straight sets 6-4, 6-4. Faria broke Pavlovic's serve twice, while Pavlovic did not manage to break Faria's serve. The win advanced Faria to the final.

Key context

  • Match story: Jaime Faria edged a tight contest from start to finish — 6–4 6–4.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
59%
54%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
73%
78%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
47%
Service points won·Even
64%
63%
Return points won·Even
39%
35%
Break points saved·Even
62%
64%
Aces / match·Dominant
7.0
10.5
Double faults / match·Slight edge
4.9
4.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (49 vs 26). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
54
60
Break points saved·Clear edge
76
93
Break points won·Even
22
24
Deciding sets·Slight edge
81
71
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
76
91

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 13:50 UTC
Faria J.89%
Pavlovic L.11%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Faria J. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.3
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
6.2
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.1+11 Grass Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.9Grass Elo 1508
7.3Overall Elo 1770
ELO gap
2.7Overall Elo 1586
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
9.39 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
7.15 of last 7 on grass
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
81
86

Faria J.: 4 days rest · 1 match, 31 games (7d) · Pavlovic L.: 8 days rest · 5 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
36°CClear
Wind 8 km/hHumidity 35%

Draw