Zsombor Piros vs Billy HarrisWimbledon Qualifying Semi-final

Wimbledon · ATP · Qualifying Semi-final
#172ATP
1692ELO
1568Grass ELO
$145kYTD
$975kCAREER
26 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WLLWWLLLLW
Sets
Wednesday, 24 June 2026 ·
grass
#140ATP
1486ELO
1493Grass ELO
$229kYTD
$1.5MCAREER
31 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WLWWLWLWLW
Piros Z.
vs
Harris B.

Zsombor Piros faces Billy Harris in the Wimbledon qualifying semi-final on grass. Billy Harris holds the paper edge — ranked #140, defending last year's round of 64.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 15:20 UTC
Piros Z.82%
Harris B.18%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Piros Z. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
6.2
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.9+75 Grass Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.1Grass Elo 1493
7.6Overall Elo 1692
ELO gap
2.4Overall Elo 1486
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
4.35 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
6.16 of last 10 on grass
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
Country comfort
7.0Home country · 8/16 here
Context
6.0Reached qualifying here last year
Defending pts
6.0Reached the R64 here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Piros Z.Cooling
Harris B.Stable

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

29 vs 26 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
60%
59%
1st serve points won·Even
70%
71%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
50%
Service points won·Even
63%
62%
Return points won·Slight edge
40%
34%
Break points saved·Slight edge
69%
58%
Aces / match·Slight edge
3.8
4.8
Double faults / match·Even
2.3
2.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (29 vs 26). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Piros Z.serving91% hold

wins 70% of points on serve vs Harris B.

Harris B.serving81% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Piros Z.

Serve advantage — Piros Z.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
52
46
Break points saved·Slight edge
84
91
Break points won·Clear edge
32
10
Deciding sets·Even
81
82
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
31
21

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
85
65

Piros Z.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 26 games (7d) · Harris B.: 4 days rest · 3 matches, 90 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather forecast
30°CClear
Wind 9 km/hHumidity 50%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Draw — qualifying

Quarter-finals