Alejandro Moro Canas vs Harold MayotWimbledon Qualifying Semi-final

Wimbledon · ATP · Qualifying Semi-final
#236ATP
1526ELO
1487Grass ELO
25 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWLWLLW
2 — 0
Sets
Wednesday, 24 June 2026 ·
grass
#255ATP
1571ELO
1500Grass ELO
$73kYTD
$1.2MCAREER
24 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWWLLWW
Moro Canas A.
6-3 7-6
Mayot H.
Moro Canas A.
672
Mayot H.
360

Alejandro Moro Canas defeated Harold Mayot in the semifinals of Wimbledon, advancing with a 6-3, 7-6 victory. Moro Canas hit 5 aces and 2 double faults, winning 70% of his first serves and converting 40% of break points. He secured 2 service breaks to Mayot's 1.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
67%
64%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
65%
73%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
55%
Service points won·Slight edge
61%
67%
Return points won·Even
40%
37%
Break points saved·Even
59%
62%
Aces / match·Dominant
2.6
6.3
Double faults / match·Even
1.9
2.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (33 vs 7). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
24
29
Break points saved·Slight edge
82
92
Break points won·Clear edge
35
22
Deciding sets·Clear edge
20
32
Tiebreaks·Even
7
8

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 15:50 UTC
Moro Canas A.45%
Mayot H.55%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.1+7 Grass Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.9Grass Elo 1502
4.7Overall Elo 1576
ELO gap
5.3Overall Elo 1602
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
6.37 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
2.12 of last 10 on grass
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
83
79

Moro Canas A.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 22 games (7d) · Mayot H.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 16 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
36°CClear
Wind 11 km/hHumidity 36%

Draw