Liam Broady vs August Holmgren — Wimbledon Qualifying Round
Broady L.
Liam Broady faces August Holmgren in the Wimbledon qualifying round on grass. August Holmgren holds the paper edge — ranked #143, defending last year's round of 32, a roughly 90-point grass Elo advantage.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 15:37 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Toss-up · Too close to call
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Freshness: Liam Broady comes in with 8 days of rest and 64 games in 14d, vs August Holmgren's 5 and 123.
- Stage: August Holmgren defends last year's round of 32.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Form trajectory
Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (27 vs 32). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadBroady L.: 8 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Holmgren A.: 5 days rest · 3 matches, 69 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.