Roman Safiullin vs James Mccabe — Wimbledon Qualifying Round
Safiullin R.
Roman Safiullin faces James Mccabe in the Wimbledon qualifying round on grass. Roman Safiullin is the paper favourite — ranked #131, leading the head-to-head 1–0, defending last year's round of 128 — but James Mccabe arrives in form, winning 4 of their last 6 on grass to Roman Safiullin's 3.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 15:37 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Strong favourite · Safiullin R. heavily favoured
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Freshness: Workload contrast: Roman Safiullin 151 games in 14 days, James Mccabe 113.
- Under pressure: Roman Safiullin has the edge on pressure points (Clutch Rating 62 vs James Mccabe's 38).
- Head-to-head: Roman Safiullin leads the head-to-head 1–0. Last met at Mallorca 2023.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Form trajectory
Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (24 vs 21). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadSafiullin R.: 3 days rest · 3 matches, 77 games (7d) · Mccabe J.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 23 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
1–0| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-06-26 | Mallorca | Q2 | grass | Roman Safiullin | 7-5 4-6 7-6(5) |