Lukas Neumayer vs Dusan Lajovic — Wimbledon Qualifying Round
Neumayer L.
Lukas Neumayer faces Dusan Lajovic in the Wimbledon qualifying round on grass. Dusan Lajovic holds the paper edge — ranked #139, defending last year's round of 128, a roughly 20-point grass Elo advantage.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 15:37 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Slight edge · Lajovic D. narrowly ahead
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Under pressure: Dusan Lajovic has the edge on pressure points (Clutch Rating 61 vs Lukas Neumayer's 39).
- Fatigue load: Dusan Lajovic carries the heavier recent load — 2 three-setters to 1 in the past fortnight.
- Stage: Dusan Lajovic defends last year's round of 128.
Umpiry Score
Pre-match- Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Form trajectory
Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (30 vs 31). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadNeumayer L.: 5 days rest · 1 match, 26 games (7d) · Lajovic D.: 9 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.