Dane Sweeny vs Franco Roncadelli — Wimbledon Qualifying Round
AUS
Sweeny D.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 15:37 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Slight edge · Roncadelli F. narrowly ahead
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Umpiry Score
Pre-match- Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Form trajectory
Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (30 vs 34). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadSweeny D.: 5 days rest · 1 match, 28 games (7d) · Roncadelli F.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 20 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.