Stefano Napolitano vs Billy HarrisWimbledon Qualifying Round

Wimbledon · ATP · Qualifying Round
#245ATP
1543ELO
1490Grass ELO
31 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LWLLLWWWLW
Sets
Monday, 22 June 2026 ·
grass
#142ATP
1486ELO
1493Grass ELO
$229kYTD
$1.5MCAREER
31 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LWWLWLWLWL
Napolitano S.
vs
Harris B.

Stefano Napolitano faces Billy Harris in the Wimbledon qualifying round on grass. Billy Harris holds the paper edge — ranked #142, defending last year's round of 64.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 16:20 UTC
Napolitano S.61%
Harris B.39%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Napolitano S. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.2
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.0Grass Elo 1490
Surface ELO
5.0+3 Grass Elo edge
5.7Overall Elo 1543
ELO gap
4.3Overall Elo 1486
5.0First meeting on grass
H2H
5.0First meeting on grass
3.95 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
5.25 of last 10 on grass
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
0.03 three-setters in 14 days
Country comfort
6.8Home country · 7/15 here
3.0Clay → Grass
Surface transition
Context
6.0Reached qualifying here last year
Defending pts
6.0Reached the R64 here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

26 vs 26 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
61%
59%
1st serve points won·Even
73%
71%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
58%
50%
Service points won·Slight edge
67%
62%
Return points won·Even
37%
34%
Break points saved·Even
58%
58%
Aces / match·Even
4.5
4.8
Double faults / match·Slight edge
1.6
2.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (26 vs 26). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Napolitano S.serving94% hold

wins 74% of points on serve vs Harris B.

Harris B.serving86% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Napolitano S.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
33
46
Break points saved·Clear edge
77
91
Break points won·Even
13
10
Deciding sets·Dominant
55
82
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
27
21

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
85
60

Napolitano S.: 4 days rest · 2 matches, 43 games (7d) · Harris B.: 3 days rest · 3 matches, 90 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather forecast
26°CClear
Wind 18 km/hHumidity 57%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.