Juan Carlos Prado Angelo vs Daniel EvansWimbledon Qualifying Round

Wimbledon · ATP · Qualifying Round
#157ATP
1511ELO
1455Grass ELO
$163kYTD
$320kCAREER
21 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LWWWLLLWLW
Sets
Monday, 22 June 2026 ·
grass
#244ATP
1610ELO
1603Grass ELO
36 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LLWLLLLLLW
Prado Angelo J.
vs
Evans D.

Juan Carlos Prado Angelo faces Daniel Evans in the Wimbledon qualifying round on grass.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 15:37 UTC
Prado Angelo J.21%
Evans D.79%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Evans D. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.6
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.2Grass Elo 1455
Surface ELO
6.8+148 Grass Elo edge
3.8Overall Elo 1511
ELO gap
6.2Overall Elo 1610
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
Surface form
4.65 of last 10 on grass
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
Country comfort
6.5Home country · 17/41 here
3.0Clay → Grass
Surface transition
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
6.0Reached the R64 here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Evans D.Risingearly

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

23 vs 2 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Clear edge
62%
48%
1st serve points won·Clear edge
63%
51%
2nd serve points won·Clear edge
51%
39%
Service points won·Clear edge
58%
45%
Return points won·Slight edge
41%
30%
Break points saved·Dominant
58%
17%
Aces / match·Slight edge
2.2
1.5
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.3
6.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (23 vs 2). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Prado Angelo J.serving83% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Evans D.

Evans D.serving65% hold

wins 56% of points on serve vs Prado Angelo J.

Serve advantage — Prado Angelo J.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. Small sample — read as indicative. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
48
73
Break points saved·Dominant
40
97
Break points won·Dominant
30
61
Deciding sets·Slight edge
91
82
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
77
63

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
89

Evans D.: 8 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather forecast
27°CClear
Wind 19 km/hHumidity 51%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.