Remy Bertola vs Jurij Rodionov — Wimbledon Qualifying Semi-final
SUI
Bertola R.
Remy Bertola faces Jurij Rodionov in the Wimbledon qualifying semi-final on grass. Jurij Rodionov is the paper favourite — ranked #139, a roughly 50-point grass Elo advantage — but Remy Bertola arrives in form, winning 6 of their last 7 on grass to Jurij Rodionov's 5.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 23:20 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Clear favourite · Rodionov J. clearly ahead, but no certainty
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Freshness: Remy Bertola comes in with 3 days of rest and 150 games in 14d, vs Jurij Rodionov's 2 and 98.
- Last match: Remy Bertola dropped the opening set before beating Liam Draxl 2–6 7–6 6–1.
- Surface form: Remy Bertola 6 of 7, Jurij Rodionov 5 of 7 on grass recently — Remy Bertola the sharper of late.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Form trajectory
Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (32 vs 30). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadBertola R.: 3 days rest · 4 matches, 94 games (7d) · Rodionov J.: 2 days rest · 5 matches, 98 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.