Remy Bertola vs Jurij RodionovWimbledon Qualifying Semi-final

Wimbledon · ATP · Qualifying Semi-final
#176ATP
1579ELO
1538Grass ELO
$109kYTD
$343kCAREER
27 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLLWLWWW
2 — 1
Sets
Wednesday, 24 June 2026 ·
grass
#132ATP
1636ELO
1585Grass ELO
$206kYTD
$1.7MCAREER
27 yrs · 191 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWLLW
Bertola R.
4-6 7-6 6-2
Rodionov J.
Bertola R.
4762
Rodionov J.
6621

Remy Bertola defeated Jurij Rodionov in the semifinals of Wimbledon on grass. Bertola won the match 4-6, 7-6, 6-2, breaking serve three times to Rodionov's two. Bertola advanced to the final with the victory.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
60%
59%
1st serve points won·Even
69%
73%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
53%
Service points won·Even
61%
65%
Return points won·Even
39%
39%
Break points saved·Slight edge
59%
64%
Aces / match·Slight edge
4.6
5.5
Double faults / match·Slight edge
3.4
2.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (31 vs 41). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
30
6
Break points saved·Slight edge
70
75
Break points won·Slight edge
12
2
Deciding sets·Clear edge
37
22
Tiebreaks·Dominant
62
10

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 09:50 UTC
Bertola R.35%
Rodionov J.65%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Rodionov J. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.2+19 Grass Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.8Grass Elo 1493
4.3Overall Elo 1643
ELO gap
5.7Overall Elo 1701
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
Surface form
2.82 of last 10 on grass
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
97
87

Bertola R.: 12 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Rodionov J.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 23 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
31°CClear
Wind 9 km/hHumidity 53%

Draw