Vilius Gaubas vs Henry Searle — Wimbledon Qualifying Semi-final

Wimbledon · ATP · Qualifying Semi-final
LTU
Vilius Gaubas
#129ATP
1569ELO
1523Grass ELO
$275kYTD
$759kCAREER
21 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WLLLLLWWLW
—
Sets
Wednesday, 24 June 2026 ·
grass
GBR
Henry Searle
#263ATP
1357ELO
1355Grass ELO
20 yrs · 193 cm · Left-handed
Last 10
WWWWWWLWWL
Gaubas V.
vs
Searle H.

Vilius Gaubas faces Henry Searle in the Wimbledon qualifying semi-final on grass. Vilius Gaubas is the paper favourite — ranked #129, a roughly 170-point grass Elo advantage — but Henry Searle rides a 6-match win streak.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 20:20 UTC
Gaubas V.83%
Searle H.17%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Gaubas V. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Gaubas V.
7.0
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Searle H.
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
7.1+168 Grass Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.9Grass Elo 1355
7.6Overall Elo 1569
ELO gap
2.4Overall Elo 1357
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
6.74 of last 6 on grass
Surface form
7.97 of last 10 on grass
Win streak
9.06-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
Country comfort
6.0Home country · 2/6 here
Context
6.0Reached qualifying here last year
Defending pts
6.0Reached the R128 here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Gaubas V.Stable
Searle H.Rising

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

31 vs 10 matches

Statistics

This season
Gaubas V.Searle H.
1st serve in·Slight edge
66%
57%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
66%
73%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
54%
Service points won·Slight edge
60%
65%
Return points won·Even
38%
39%
Break points saved·Clear edge
65%
51%
Aces / match·Slight edge
3.3
4.6
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.6
2.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (31 vs 10). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Gaubas V.serving80% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Searle H.

Searle H.serving88% hold

wins 68% of points on serve vs Gaubas V.

Serve advantage — Searle H.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Freshness

Recent load
Gaubas V.Searle H.
Freshness·Dominant
99
57

Gaubas V.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Searle H.: 2 days rest · 5 matches, 121 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather forecast
32°CClear
Wind 12 km/hHumidity 48%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Draw — qualifying

Quarter-finals
Semi-finals
Comesana F.
Moro Canas A.
6-46-754-6
Moreno De Alboran N.
Mayot H.
2-62-6
Sanchez Izquierdo N.
Kwon S.
6-773-6
Brancaccio R.
Gea A.
5-73-6
Faria J.
Grenier H.
6-36-3
Lajal M.
Pavlovic L.
4-64-6
Chidekh C.
Dougaz A.
4-64-6
Matusevich A.
Sakamoto R.
6-766-33-6
Yunchaokete B.
Dellien H.
6-46-0
Gomez F.
Tabur C.
3-64-6
Giustino L.
Onclin G.
3-65-7
Sachko V.
Mochizuki S.
3-66-74
Wong C.
Gojo B.
6-7102-6
Andrade A.
Smith C.
3-66-43-6
Djere L.
Houkes M.
6-47-5
Squire H.
Zheng M.
2-66-73
Gaston H.
Midon L.
4-66-36-4
Cadenasso G.
Cina F.
3-62-6
Smith K.
Ficovich J.
6-17-64
Butvilas E.
Echargui M.
6-35-73-6
Basilashvili N.
Ymer E.
6-23-66-78
Skatov T.
Barrena A.
6-37-64
Guerrieri A.
Goffin D.
3-67-56-2
Boscardin Dias P.
Jacquet K.
1-66-73
Llamas Ruiz P.
Added D.
6-26-4
Bailly G.
Martin Tiffon P.
4-64-6
Boyer T.
Olivieri G.
6-16-4
Clarke J.
Pellegrino A.
6-26-754-6
Budkov Kjaer N.
Reis Da Silva J.
6-46-766-1
Dodig M.
Ferreira Silva F.
3-67-607-65
Noguchi R.
Nardi L.
2-63-6
Virtanen O.
Martinez P.
6-41-66-1
Rocha H.
Mejia N.
4-67-662-6
Tseng C.
Heide G.
6-784-6
Prado Angelo J.
Evans D.
6-723-6
Monday J.
Schoolkate T.
5-73-6
Maestrelli F.
Basing M.
6-46-724-6
Gentzsch T.
Kolar Z.
6-36-3
Draxl L.
Bertola R.
6-26-731-6
Crawford O.
Rodionov J.
4-64-6
Sweeny D.
Roncadelli F.
6-46-2
Blanch D.
Blanchet U.
Herbert P.
Jubb P.
5-76-76
Cecchinato M.
Barrios Vera T.
6-723-6
Diaz Acosta F.
Galarneau A.
2-62-6
Tarvet O.
Bolt A.
7-637-5
Coria F.
Bonding O.
7-656-2
Hsu Y.
Sakellaridis S.
4-62-6
Mcdonald M.
Meligeni Alves F.
6-26-756-3
M. Ceban
Carballes Baena R.
2-64-6
Uchida K.
Tomic B.
3-62-6
Schwaerzler J.
C. O'Connell
6-734-6
Gaubas V.
Mmoh M.
4-66-36-2
Zhang Z.
Searle H.
3-64-6
Bax F.
Rodesch C.
7-641-64-6
Neumayer L.
Lajovic D.
4-64-6
Safiullin R.
Mccabe J.
6-37-64
Glinka D.
Coppejans K.
4-63-6
Kym J.
Bueno G.
4-67-56-1
Broady L.
Holmgren A.
6-766-45-7
Travaglia S.
Mikrut L.
7-57-63
Den Ouden G.
Zhou Y.
4-64-6
Piros Z.
Ivanov I.
6-26-2
Napolitano S.
Harris B.
2-62-6
Moro Canas A.
Mayot H.
Kwon S.
Gea A.
Faria J.
Pavlovic L.
Dougaz A.
Sakamoto R.
Yunchaokete B.
Tabur C.
Onclin G.
Mochizuki S.
Gojo B.
Smith C.
Djere L.
Zheng M.
Gaston H.
Cina F.
Smith K.
Echargui M.
Ymer E.
Skatov T.
Guerrieri A.
Jacquet K.
Llamas Ruiz P.
Martin Tiffon P.
Boyer T.
Pellegrino A.
Budkov Kjaer N.
Dodig M.
Nardi L.
Virtanen O.
Mejia N.
Heide G.
Evans D.
Schoolkate T.
Basing M.
Gentzsch T.
Bertola R.
Rodionov J.
Sweeny D.
—
Jubb P.
Barrios Vera T.
Galarneau A.
Tarvet O.
Coria F.
Sakellaridis S.
Mcdonald M.
Carballes Baena R.
Tomic B.
C. O'Connell
Gaubas V.
Searle H.
Rodesch C.
Lajovic D.
Safiullin R.
Coppejans K.
Kym J.
Holmgren A.
Travaglia S.
Zhou Y.
Piros Z.
Harris B.