Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Pol Martin Tiffon — Wimbledon Qualifying Semi-final

Wimbledon · ATP · Qualifying Semi-final
Pablo Llamas Ruiz
ESP
Pablo Llamas Ruiz
#119ATP
1734ELO
1558Grass ELO
$160kYTD
$776kCAREER
23 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WLWLWWWLWW
—
Sets
Wednesday, 24 June 2026 ·
grass
ESP
Pol Martin Tiffon
#219ATP
1561ELO
1448Grass ELO
26 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WLWWLWWLLW
Llamas Ruiz P.
vs
Martin Tiffon P.

Pablo Llamas Ruiz faces Pol Martin Tiffon in the Wimbledon qualifying semi-final on grass. Pablo Llamas Ruiz holds the paper edge — ranked #119, a roughly 110-point grass Elo advantage.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 19:21 UTC
Llamas Ruiz P.83%
Martin Tiffon P.17%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Llamas Ruiz P. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Llamas Ruiz P.
6.9
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Martin Tiffon P.
6.0
Even matchUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
6.4+110 Grass Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.6Grass Elo 1448
7.2Overall Elo 1734
ELO gap
2.8Overall Elo 1561
5.0First meeting on grass
H2H
5.0First meeting on grass
4.43 of last 7 on grass
Surface form
Context
6.0Reached qualifying here last year
Defending pts
6.0Reached qualifying here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Llamas Ruiz P.Cooling
Martin Tiffon P.Cooling

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

34 vs 42 matches

Statistics

This season
Llamas Ruiz P.Martin Tiffon P.
1st serve in·Clear edge
73%
60%
1st serve points won·Even
69%
71%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
53%
Service points won·Even
64%
63%
Return points won·Even
42%
40%
Break points saved·Even
60%
62%
Aces / match·Slight edge
2.1
3.3
Double faults / match·Dominant
1.0
2.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (34 vs 42). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Llamas Ruiz P.serving84% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Martin Tiffon P.

Martin Tiffon P.serving79% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Llamas Ruiz P.

Serve advantage — Llamas Ruiz P.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Llamas Ruiz P.Martin Tiffon P.
Clutch Rating·Dominant
63
26
Break points saved·Dominant
88
59
Break points won·Dominant
39
11
Deciding sets·Clear edge
79
60
Tiebreaks·Dominant
72
22

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Llamas Ruiz P.Martin Tiffon P.
Freshness·
100
—

Llamas Ruiz P.: 17 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather forecast
32°CClear
Wind 12 km/hHumidity 48%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Draw — qualifying

Quarter-finals
Semi-finals
Comesana F.
Moro Canas A.
6-46-754-6
Moreno De Alboran N.
Mayot H.
2-62-6
Sanchez Izquierdo N.
Kwon S.
6-773-6
Brancaccio R.
Gea A.
5-73-6
Faria J.
Grenier H.
6-36-3
Lajal M.
Pavlovic L.
4-64-6
Chidekh C.
Dougaz A.
4-64-6
Matusevich A.
Sakamoto R.
6-766-33-6
Yunchaokete B.
Dellien H.
6-46-0
Gomez F.
Tabur C.
3-64-6
Giustino L.
Onclin G.
3-65-7
Sachko V.
Mochizuki S.
3-66-74
Wong C.
Gojo B.
6-7102-6
Andrade A.
Smith C.
3-66-43-6
Djere L.
Houkes M.
6-47-5
Squire H.
Zheng M.
2-66-73
Gaston H.
Midon L.
4-66-36-4
Cadenasso G.
Cina F.
3-62-6
Smith K.
Ficovich J.
6-17-64
Butvilas E.
Echargui M.
6-35-73-6
Basilashvili N.
Ymer E.
6-23-66-78
Skatov T.
Barrena A.
6-37-64
Guerrieri A.
Goffin D.
3-67-56-2
Boscardin Dias P.
Jacquet K.
1-66-73
Llamas Ruiz P.
Added D.
6-26-4
Bailly G.
Martin Tiffon P.
4-64-6
Boyer T.
Olivieri G.
6-16-4
Clarke J.
Pellegrino A.
6-26-754-6
Budkov Kjaer N.
Reis Da Silva J.
6-46-766-1
Dodig M.
Ferreira Silva F.
3-67-607-65
Noguchi R.
Nardi L.
2-63-6
Virtanen O.
Martinez P.
6-41-66-1
Rocha H.
Mejia N.
4-67-662-6
Tseng C.
Heide G.
6-784-6
Prado Angelo J.
Evans D.
6-723-6
Monday J.
Schoolkate T.
5-73-6
Maestrelli F.
Basing M.
6-46-724-6
Gentzsch T.
Kolar Z.
6-36-3
Draxl L.
Bertola R.
6-26-731-6
Crawford O.
Rodionov J.
4-64-6
Sweeny D.
Roncadelli F.
6-46-2
Blanch D.
Blanchet U.
Herbert P.
Jubb P.
5-76-76
Cecchinato M.
Barrios Vera T.
6-723-6
Diaz Acosta F.
Galarneau A.
2-62-6
Tarvet O.
Bolt A.
7-637-5
Coria F.
Bonding O.
7-656-2
Hsu Y.
Sakellaridis S.
4-62-6
Mcdonald M.
Meligeni Alves F.
6-26-756-3
M. Ceban
Carballes Baena R.
2-64-6
Uchida K.
Tomic B.
3-62-6
Schwaerzler J.
C. O'Connell
6-734-6
Gaubas V.
Mmoh M.
4-66-36-2
Zhang Z.
Searle H.
3-64-6
Bax F.
Rodesch C.
7-641-64-6
Neumayer L.
Lajovic D.
4-64-6
Safiullin R.
Mccabe J.
6-37-64
Glinka D.
Coppejans K.
4-63-6
Kym J.
Bueno G.
4-67-56-1
Broady L.
Holmgren A.
6-766-45-7
Travaglia S.
Mikrut L.
7-57-63
Den Ouden G.
Zhou Y.
4-64-6
Piros Z.
Ivanov I.
6-26-2
Napolitano S.
Harris B.
2-62-6
Moro Canas A.
Mayot H.
Kwon S.
Gea A.
Faria J.
Pavlovic L.
Dougaz A.
Sakamoto R.
Yunchaokete B.
Tabur C.
Onclin G.
Mochizuki S.
Gojo B.
Smith C.
Djere L.
Zheng M.
Gaston H.
Cina F.
Smith K.
Echargui M.
Ymer E.
Skatov T.
Guerrieri A.
Jacquet K.
Llamas Ruiz P.
Martin Tiffon P.
Boyer T.
Pellegrino A.
Budkov Kjaer N.
Dodig M.
Nardi L.
Virtanen O.
Mejia N.
Heide G.
Evans D.
Schoolkate T.
Basing M.
Gentzsch T.
Bertola R.
Rodionov J.
Sweeny D.
—
Jubb P.
Barrios Vera T.
Galarneau A.
Tarvet O.
Coria F.
Sakellaridis S.
Mcdonald M.
Carballes Baena R.
Tomic B.
C. O'Connell
Gaubas V.
Searle H.
Rodesch C.
Lajovic D.
Safiullin R.
Coppejans K.
Kym J.
Holmgren A.
Travaglia S.
Zhou Y.
Piros Z.
Harris B.