Raul Brancaccio vs Arthur Gea — Wimbledon Qualifying Round
FRA
Brancaccio R.
Raul Brancaccio faces Arthur Gea in the Wimbledon qualifying round on grass. Arthur Gea holds the paper edge — ranked #135, a roughly 100-point grass Elo advantage.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 16:20 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Strong favourite · Gea A. heavily favoured
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Freshness: Workload contrast: Raul Brancaccio 91 games in 14 days, Arthur Gea 110.
- Under pressure: Arthur Gea has the edge on pressure points (Clutch Rating 36 vs Raul Brancaccio's 12).
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Form trajectory
Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (28 vs 31). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadBrancaccio R.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 19 games (7d) · Gea A.: 4 days rest · 2 matches, 54 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.