Dane Sweeny vs Darwin Blanch — Wimbledon Qualifying Semi-final
Wimbledon · ATP · Qualifying Semi-final
AUS11#122ATP
1460ELO
1362Grass ELO
$256kYTD
$861kCAREER
25 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLLWWLLW
1 — 1
Sets
Retired
Wednesday, 24 June 2026 ·
grass
#221ATP
1551ELO
1458Grass ELO
18 yrs · 185 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLLWWWLL
Sweeny D.2-6 7-6 4-0
Blanch D.
Sweeny D.
2741
Blanch D.
6601
Dane Sweeny advanced to the Wimbledon semifinals after Darwin Blanch retired during their match. At the time of Blanch's retirement, Sweeny led 2-6, 7-6, 4-0. The players had broken serve four times each during the match.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.
Statistics
This season1st serve in·Slight edge
64%
58%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
67%
74%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
50%
Service points won·Even
62%
64%
Return points won·Even
39%
40%
Break points saved·Even
63%
60%
Aces / match·Clear edge
3.2
6.0
Double faults / match·Even
3.5
3.3
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (26 vs 30). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 12:50 UTCSweeny D.26%
Blanch D.74%
Toss-up
50–58%
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+
80%+
Clear favourite · Blanch D. clearly ahead, but no certainty
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Umpiry Score
Pre-match6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score6.1
Even matchUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limitedForm & Matchup
5.2+13 Grass Elo edge
Surface ELO4.8Grass Elo 1501
5.5Overall Elo 1609
ELO gap4.5Overall Elo 1567
5.0No prior meetings
H2H5.0No prior meetings
4.94 of last 10 on grass
Surface formFatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set countContext
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts5.0Didn't play here last year
The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Conditions
Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
34°CClear
Wind 8 km/hHumidity 41%