Yu Hsiou Hsu vs Stefanos SakellaridisWimbledon Qualifying Round

Wimbledon · ATP · Qualifying Round
#213ATP
1515ELO
1359Grass ELO
27 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LWLWLLWLWL
Sets
Monday, 22 June 2026 ·
grass
#153ATP
1657ELO
1579Grass ELO
$122kYTD
$338kCAREER
21 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LWWLWWWWWW
Hsu Y.
vs
Sakellaridis S.

Yu Hsiou Hsu faces Stefanos Sakellaridis in the Wimbledon qualifying round on grass. Stefanos Sakellaridis holds the paper edge — ranked #153, a roughly 220-point grass Elo advantage. Recent grass form is closely matched.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 15:37 UTC
Hsu Y.12%
Sakellaridis S.88%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Sakellaridis S. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

  • Fatigue load: Stefanos Sakellaridis carries the heavier recent load — 1 three-setter to 0 in the past fortnight.
  • Surface form: Both 2 of 4 on grass recently — court-specific quality nearly identical despite the ranking gap.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.2
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
7.3
Strong advantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
2.3Grass Elo 1359
Surface ELO
7.7+220 Grass Elo edge
3.2Overall Elo 1515
ELO gap
6.8Overall Elo 1657
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
2.52 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

22 vs 36 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
66%
59%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
64%
73%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
52%
Service points won·Slight edge
59%
64%
Return points won·Even
40%
40%
Break points saved·Even
56%
57%
Aces / match·Dominant
2.8
6.5
Double faults / match·Even
1.9
2.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (22 vs 36). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Hsu Y.serving76% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Sakellaridis S.

Sakellaridis S.serving84% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Hsu Y.

Serve advantage — Sakellaridis S.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
36
46
Break points saved·Slight edge
74
63
Break points won·Slight edge
4
9
Deciding sets·Dominant
50
83
Tiebreaks·Even
77
76

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
76
73

Hsu Y.: 4 days rest · 4 matches, 83 games (7d) · Sakellaridis S.: 3 days rest · 3 matches, 69 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather forecast
27°CClear
Wind 19 km/hHumidity 51%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.