Guy Den Ouden vs Yi ZhouWimbledon Qualifying Round

Wimbledon · ATP · Qualifying Round
#243ATP
1502ELO
1411Grass ELO
$84kYTD
$332kCAREER
24 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LLWLWWWLLL
Sets
Monday, 22 June 2026 ·
grass
#253ATP
1455ELO
1428Grass ELO
21 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LWWWWLLLLL
Den Ouden G.
vs
Zhou Y.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 15:37 UTC
Den Ouden G.53%
Zhou Y.47%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.8Grass Elo 1411
Surface ELO
5.2+16 Grass Elo edge
5.6Overall Elo 1502
ELO gap
4.4Overall Elo 1455
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
Surface form
6.64 of last 6 on grass
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
6.0Reached qualifying here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

17 vs 19 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
64%
63%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
65%
71%
2nd serve points won·Even
47%
49%
Service points won·Slight edge
58%
63%
Return points won·Even
40%
38%
Break points saved·Clear edge
49%
63%
Aces / match·Dominant
1.9
6.0
Double faults / match·Even
2.8
2.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (17 vs 19). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Den Ouden G.serving78% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Zhou Y.

Zhou Y.serving83% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Den Ouden G.

Serve advantage — Zhou Y.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
24
14
Break points saved·Clear edge
72
87
Break points won·Clear edge
36
13
Deciding sets·Clear edge
14
0
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
35
18

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
93
65

Den Ouden G.: 8 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Zhou Y.: 3 days rest · 5 matches, 107 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather forecast
26°CClear
Wind 18 km/hHumidity 57%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.