Andrea Guerrieri vs Kyrian JacquetWimbledon Qualifying Semi-final

Wimbledon · ATP · Qualifying Semi-final
#213ATP
1545ELO
1472Grass ELO
27 yrs · 180 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWLWLWWLWL
0 — 2
Sets
Wednesday, 24 June 2026 ·
grass
#121ATP
1685ELO
1612Grass ELO
$269kYTD
$1.0MCAREER
25 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLWLLWW
Guerrieri A.
6-7 4-6
Jacquet K.
Guerrieri A.
640
Jacquet K.
762

Kyrian Jacquet defeated Andrea Guerrieri in the semifinals of Wimbledon, advancing with a 7-6, 6-4 victory on the grass courts. Jacquet hit 6 aces to Guerrieri's 3 and committed 2 double faults to Guerrieri's 6. Jacquet won 82% of his first-serve points to Guerrieri's 71%, converted 29% of break points to Guerrieri's 25%, and broke Guerrieri's serve twice to Guerrieri's one.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
63%
57%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
66%
72%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
46%
53%
Service points won·Slight edge
59%
64%
Return points won·Slight edge
45%
40%
Break points saved·Even
60%
58%
Aces / match·Dominant
1.3
5.6
Double faults / match·Clear edge
4.5
3.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (29 vs 28). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
62
47
Break points saved·Slight edge
80
87
Break points won·Clear edge
40
27
Deciding sets·Dominant
84
40
Tiebreaks·
91

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 15:50 UTC
Guerrieri A.27%
Jacquet K.73%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Jacquet K. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.1+11 Grass Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.9Grass Elo 1493
3.9Overall Elo 1569
ELO gap
6.1Overall Elo 1654
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
Surface form
5.65 of last 10 on grass
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
89
67

Guerrieri A.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 17 games (7d) · Jacquet K.: 2 days rest · 2 matches, 59 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
36°CClear
Wind 11 km/hHumidity 36%

Draw